Aruanded

Cheap oil: the new normal?

Economic Note

  • Brazil,
  • Mexico,
  • General economic

20 apr 2015

We forecast the oil price will start rising in the fourth quarter of 2015 to USD 75 on average in 2016. Discover the impact on sectors and countries across the globe.

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Industry Performance Forecast

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    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Czech Republic

    Market Monitor

    • Czech Republic
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    Payments in the Czech machinery sector take around 40 days, with ‘days sales outstanding’ (DSO) for smaller businesses of about 50 days.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - USA

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    Compared to other US industries the rate of insolvencies is low in the machinery sector, and it is expected that business failures will level off or even decrease slightly (by about 1%) in H2 of 2015.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Italy

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    The outlook for the machinery industry is promising, as the Italian economy is expected to grow 0.6% in 2015 and 0.9% in 2016 after two years of contraction.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - France

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    The machinery sector should benefit from the economic rebound in France, with GDP forecast to grow 1.1% in 2015 (after 0.2% in 2014) and stronger growth in industrial production and exports.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - China

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    China’s machinery sector has seen high overcapacity: profits of machinery businesses will be squeezed further by fierce competition, as companies have to offer lower prices to keep market shares.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Sweden

    Market Monitor

    • Sweden
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    The Swedish machinery sector has seen many positive developments over the past few years and currently benefits from higher global demand.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Hungary

    Market Monitor

    • Hungary
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    Hungary has become a key production base for automotive majors such as Audi, Daimler (Mercedes-Benz), Suzuki and General Motors.

    MENA Country Report - Jordan

    Country Report

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    Jordan’s economic growth is expected to accelerate from 3.1% in 2014 to 4.3% in 2015.

    MENA Country Report - Egypt

    Country Report

    • Egypt
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    In 2015 and 2016 Egypt’s economy is expected to grow by more than 4%, as improved stability in the country will boost domestic demand.

    MENA Country Report - UAE

    Country Report

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    Despite the UAE’s overall diversification, the lower oil price is expected to take its toll on economic growth.

    MENA Country Report - Tunisia

    Country Report

    • Tunisia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    Tunisia’s economy is expected to grow moderately in 2015 and 2016, supported by increased demand from the eurozone.

    MENA Country Report - Saudi Arabia

    Country Report

    • Saudi Arabia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    Saudi Arabia’s GDP growth is expected to slow down to 3.0% in 2015 following a growth of 3.6% in 2014.

    MENA Country Report - Morocco

    Country Report

    • Morocco
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    An expected rebound in agriculture will lead to higher GDP growth in 2015, forecast to increase 4.6%. Growth is also sustained by increasing exports, mainly to the eurozone.

    MENA Country Report - Kuwait

    Country Report

    • Kuwait
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    In 2015, Kuwait's economic growth is expected to decrease to 1.7% due to the lower oil price and decreased oil production.

    Russia update: economic and industry outlook

    Industry Match-up Reports

    • Russia
    • General economic

    01 juuli 2015

    Concerns in 2014 over an impending crisis in Russia were overblown. But insolvencies have increased and specific industries are affected badly by the ongoing recession.

    Country Report Japan 2015

    Country Report

    • Japan
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    30 juuni 2015

    Despite its growing economy, Japan faces major demographic challenges. There is an urgent need to make the labour market more flexible to achieve a sustainable rebound and boost economic performance.

    Country Report Italy

    Country Report

    • Italy
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    01 juuni 2015

    After three years of contraction, Italy’s economy is expected to grow by 0.6% in 2015.

    Country Report United Kingdom

    Country Report

    • United Kingdom
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    01 juuni 2015

    The UK economy expanded by 2.6% in 2014, the fastest pace of growth since 2007. While consumer spending was the main driver, real fixed investments also increased.

    Country Report Switzerland

    Country Report

    • Switzerland
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    01 juuni 2015

    While exports, industrial production and investments are expected to decrease year-on-year in 2015, private consumption is expected to rise 1.1% in 2015.

    Country Report Sweden

    Country Report

    • Sweden
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    01 juuni 2015

    The Swedish economy is set to grow by 2.4 % in 2015, with industrial production rebounding after three years of decline. Household consumption and investment growth are expected to continue.