Aruanded

Cheap oil: the new normal?

Economic Note

  • Brazil,
  • Mexico,
  • General economic

20 apr 2015

We forecast the oil price will start rising in the fourth quarter of 2015 to USD 75 on average in 2016. Discover the impact on sectors and countries across the globe.

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Industry Performance Forecast

Please read about our Industry Performance Forecast

Industry Performance Cloud

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    Market Monitor - Automotive industry - United Kingdom

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Automotive/Transport

    01 okt 2014

    The UK car market continued to grow last year. Compared to other UK industries, the automotive sector’s default and insolvency rate is good, with a stable outlook.

    Market Monitor - Automotive industry - Spain

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Automotive/Transport

    01 okt 2014

    The automotive sector was hit hard by the economic crisis, as lower domestic consumption and difficulties accessing finance led to a slump in the car market. However, a rebound began in 2013.

    Market Monitor - Automotive industry - Italy

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Automotive/Transport

    01 okt 2014

    Payments in the Italian automotive industry range between 60-90 to 120-150 days, depending on the end-buyer and whether working capital requirements can be obtained from banks or suppliers.

    Market Monitor - Automotive industry - France

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Automotive/Transport

    01 okt 2014

    The downward trend in the French automotive industry appears to have bottomed out, and there are signs of a modest rebound.

    Market Monitor - Automotive industry - China

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Automotive/Transport

    01 okt 2014

    Although China ́s economic growth is forecast to slow down in 2014, there are many positive catalysts for the car industry , and we expect a second straight year of strong growth.

    Country Report Russia

    Country Report

    • Russia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    01 sept 2014

    Russia ́s fiscal position still looks robust. Public debt has been relatively stable at 8% since the global credit crisis of 2008/2009 and is even set to decline in 2015.

    Payment Practices Barometer Brazil

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Brazil
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    01 sept 2014

    33.5% of respondents in Brazil reported that maintaining sufficient cash flow levels will be their biggest challenge to their business profitability.

    Payment Practices Barometer the Americas

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Brazil,
    • Canada,
    • Agriculture

    01 sept 2014

    Over 50% of very late payments went uncollected by businesses in the Americas.

    Market Monitor - Focus on the steel industry - Turkey

    Market Monitor

    • Turkey
    • Steel

    01 sept 2014

    Despite a drop in output of 3.4 % to 34.65 million tons, Turkey kept its position as the world’s 8th largest steel producer.

    Market Monitor - Focus on the steel industry - Russia

    Market Monitor

    • Russia
    • Steel

    01 sept 2014

    Russian domestic consumption of steel products has developed better than demand from overseas markets.

    Market Monitor - Focus on Steel industry - Mexico

    Market Monitor

    • Mexico
    • Steel

    01 sept 2014

    Mexico’s steel industry is expected to continue its rebound in 2015, thanks to an upturn in construction activities: mainly through housing and infrastructure investment postponed in 2013.

    Market Monitor - Focus on the steel industry - USA

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Steel

    01 sept 2014

    In 2014 and 2015 growth is expected to return in the US steel sector, with apparent steel use expected to increase 4% in 2014 and 3.7% in 2015.

    Market Monitor - Focus on the steel industry - Japan

    Market Monitor

    • Japan
    • Steel

    01 sept 2014

    Overall, Japanese steel production increased 3.1% year-on-year in 2013. In the first half of 2014 domestic steel orders increased 2.8%, while export orders fell by 9.4%.

    Market Monitor - Focus on the steel industry - India

    Market Monitor

    • India
    • Steel

    01 sept 2014

    On average, payments in the Indian steel/metals industry have remained unchanged since last year, taking between 60 and 90 days.

    Market Monitor - Focus on the steel Industry - China

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Steel

    01 sept 2014

    While production growth in the Chinese steel sector slowed to 3 % in the first half of 2014, the industry is expected to create excess capacity.

    Trade successfully with the UAE

    Trade Successfully With

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    01 apr 2014

    When trading with UAE, foreign exporters need to consider the deep cultural and religious basis of life there. Trade successfully with UAE is designed to help exporters expand into this vibrant market

    Trade successfully with Poland

    Trade Successfully With

    • Poland
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    23 okt 2013

    Trade successfully with Poland helps businesses seeking to break into the Polish market and sets out ten simple rules that can make trading relationships with Poland lasting and successful.

    Trade successfully with Mexico

    Trade Successfully With

    • Mexico
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    17 juuli 2013

    'Trade successfully with' reports highlight the opportunities that emerging markets offer foreign exporters, and the steps to take to avoid the pitfalls of trading in new and unknown territories.

    Trade successfully with Indonesia

    Trade Successfully With

    • Indonesia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    10 apr 2013

    Indonesia offers a wealth of business opportunities if you approach the market in the right way. The principles underlined in this report look at how a successful trading relationship can be achieved.

    Trade successfully with Brazil

    Trade Successfully With

    • Brazil
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    14 nov 2012

    Doing business in Brazil can be challenging if you’re not used to the local business environment. The ten principles set out in this report can help make trading relationships lasting and successful.