Aruanded

Cheap oil: the new normal?

Economic Note

  • Brazil,
  • Mexico,
  • General economic

20 apr 2015

We forecast the oil price will start rising in the fourth quarter of 2015 to USD 75 on average in 2016. Discover the impact on sectors and countries across the globe.

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Industry Performance Forecast

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    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Czech Republic

    Market Monitor

    • Czech Republic
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    Payments in the Czech machinery sector take around 40 days, with ‘days sales outstanding’ (DSO) for smaller businesses of about 50 days.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - USA

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    Compared to other US industries the rate of insolvencies is low in the machinery sector, and it is expected that business failures will level off or even decrease slightly (by about 1%) in H2 of 2015.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Italy

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    The outlook for the machinery industry is promising, as the Italian economy is expected to grow 0.6% in 2015 and 0.9% in 2016 after two years of contraction.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - France

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    The machinery sector should benefit from the economic rebound in France, with GDP forecast to grow 1.1% in 2015 (after 0.2% in 2014) and stronger growth in industrial production and exports.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - China

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    China’s machinery sector has seen high overcapacity: profits of machinery businesses will be squeezed further by fierce competition, as companies have to offer lower prices to keep market shares.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Sweden

    Market Monitor

    • Sweden
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    The Swedish machinery sector has seen many positive developments over the past few years and currently benefits from higher global demand.

    Market Monitor - Focus on machinery - Hungary

    Market Monitor

    • Hungary
    • Machines/Engineering

    31 juuli 2015

    Hungary has become a key production base for automotive majors such as Audi, Daimler (Mercedes-Benz), Suzuki and General Motors.

    MENA Country Report - Jordan

    Country Report

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    Jordan’s economic growth is expected to accelerate from 3.1% in 2014 to 4.3% in 2015.

    MENA Country Report - Egypt

    Country Report

    • Egypt
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    In 2015 and 2016 Egypt’s economy is expected to grow by more than 4%, as improved stability in the country will boost domestic demand.

    MENA Country Report - UAE

    Country Report

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    02 juuli 2015

    Despite the UAE’s overall diversification, the lower oil price is expected to take its toll on economic growth.